The Group One Lockinge Stakes over
one mile at Newbury is the feature of this weekend’s racing in the UK and
will see two top class stable mates from the Richard Hannon yard, Canford
Cliffs and Dick Turpin battle it out for a fourth time.
Despite finishing behind Dick Turpin
twice last season, in the Greenham Stakes and the 2000 Guineas, Canford Cliffs, avenged
those defeats by winning the Group One, St James Palace Stakes at Royal
Ascot, with Dick Turpin a length back in second. That win came after Canford
Cliffs had already won the Irish 2000
Guineas
at the Curragh and of course he was later to go and win the Group One Sussex
Stakes at Glorious Goodwood. This is why he has been made the 4/5 odds on
favourite to win the race
Dick Turpin will come into the race
with a possible advantage having already been a winner this season. He
showed by winning the Group Two, Bet365 Mile, at Sandown in April that he
was in great form and that he has progressed over the winter and the 4/1 on
offer with
Paddypower on him winning on Saturday is excellent value, considering
that extra fitness against Canford Cliffs who is making his seasonal debut.
Reports from the stable suggest that
the two are both in outstanding form and that Richard Hughes had a hard job
to decide which one of the two he wanted to ride, particularly after Dick
Turpin’s impressive win at Sandown. In the event he has remained loyal to
Canford Cliffs while Ryan Moore will be re-united with Dick Turpin.
Interestingly, Henry Cecil has
entered Twice Over in the race, which will be his first run over one mile
since he ran in this race two years ago, when he finished third. Twice Over
has only ever won twice over a mile; once in his first race as a two year
old and in the Group Three, Craven Stakes as a three year old. Nonetheless,
he is a top class horse, who has had a couple of outings already this year
at the Dubai Carnival, where he won the Group Two, Al Maktoum Challenge. He
has twice won the Group One Champion Stakes over ten furlongs and also won
the Group One
Coral Eclipse last year over the same distance. Bookmakers have reported
money for Twice Over, who is now a best price of 8/1 to win the race.
Red Jazz is a Group Two winner and a
very consistent four year old from the Barry Hills stable who has also had
the benefit of an early season outing at Meydan in Dubai. Although unlikely
to win, he would certainly be the pick for each way punters, particularly
with current odds of 20/1.
Although not quite a two horse race,
the winner is almost certainly going to be one of the market principles. The
Bookmakers seem quite insistent that Canford Cliffs will win and on his best
form he should. His case is strengthened by Richard Hughes preferring him to
Dick Turpin, but based on the form shown in the Bet365 Mile, Dick Turpin can
upset the odds and I definitely the better value at odds of 4/1!
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